Easy to say from Australia (AGW goes poof)
Found a copy of a paper that suggests AGW is minimal or inconsequential (blue line with predicted CO2 increase vs reference green line) and that we are about to enter a Dalton or Maunder Minimum. This is done by amalgamating historical trends and a careful ‘first principles’ analysis of the influence of CO2. Just to make you feel better, there is another paper predicting we are entering a Maunder Minimum with a theory that the geometry and gravitational influence of Saturn and Jupiter in the Solar System are responsible for this variation. (Note: both links are to *.pdf files)
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March 27th, 2008 at 1:29 pm
[…] It may be frustrating when usually reputable news agencies can take such an non-event and distort its context so blatantly and massively, but in the politics that is Anthroprogenic Global Warming, it is to be expected. So the real concern is still that the sun in diminishing and Antarctica is growing quicker than usual. If the Arctic follows suit in the next couple of years I’m not sure how that will be spun but it will be interesting. Personally, I’m not hoping for a clear turn away from AGW, I enjoy my short summers too much. For all this stuff being generated by the AGW IPCC industry, the real threat is shown in the final scene in the movie ‘Sunshine’. […]
March 27th, 2008 at 10:50 pm
[…] Unfortunately that may mean this is the beginning of a longer cycle phenomena after all. I hope not and the one piece of evidence I hold on to is Abdusamatov’s pick for the next long cycle minimum. Archibald’s prediction either assumes an earlier bottom to the Maunder Minimum, less moderation from the Oceans, or an interaction between the long and short cycles seen in solar activity that makes different assumptions on time lines. After all, even though sun spot activity has been recorded for some time, it is only very recently that the observations have been precise. […]