The VENT

The way these Human Rights Bureaucracies are carrying on we might have to invent a new word or acronym to describe humanity since “Human” will carry too high a negative connotation.  How about Post Industrial Modern Person … no that won’t work.  It seems most combinations of phonetically pleasing letters are taken

Mark Steyn, himself a victim of these agencies, describes the action in Maclean’s taken by them against Mark Levine.  Mark Levine is a uninteresting non-subject unto himself but we’ll leave that alone.  Mark writes,

I’m sure many Canadians have found themselves in that embarrassing situation where you cruise an Internet dating site, hook up with a hot blond 17-year-old cheerleader and arrange to meet only to find that Candii is, in fact, a 54-year-old overweight male accountant. Alas, the problem’s far worse for a neo-Nazi hoping to find a friendly website and meet a few kindred spirits. There must be a few genuine white supremacists whooping it up over at “Stormfront,” but they seem to be thin on the ground. Mr. Steacy, the CHRC’s lead investigator, is a member of Stormfront; Richard Warman, celebrated Canadian “human rights” crusader and plaintiff on every CHRC case since 2002, is a member of Stormfront; and Sgt. Stephen Camp is a member of Stormfront. What proportion of Canada’s “white supremacists” are, in fact, government employees? On a quiet day, chances must be pretty good that you’ll log on and find the joint deserted except for “jadewarr” (Mr. Steacy) trying to entrap “estate” (Sgt. Camp) while “estate” (Sgt. Camp) is simultaneously trying to entrap “axetogrind” (Mr. Warman). “There really should be a register of pseudonyms,” urged lawyer Doug Christie, “so that investigators don’t wind up investigating each other.”

Ezra Levant also discusses at length, on his site, the absense of ‘Rule of Law’ in these HRC proceedings and how the agency’s agents have become a law unto themselves.

I’ve had so much fun researching Solar Cycle 24 and its significance I’ve decided to put it on my web site as an example of what you can do by simply trolling the internet.

In my investigation that has been building over the last month I conclude:

“After reading the realms of material available on the Internet, I have to conclude we are entering a period of cooling that will sharpen after Solar Cycle 24 and that this period of cooling will last into the 22nd century.  That is not good news.  However, it also appears mankind has at least a 1000 years to prepare for the next ice age.”

For those of us waiting for the sun to show evidence that it is firing up and Solar Cycle 24 is not going the way some of the solar cycle pessimists think (interesting discussion here), there is some bad news.  The 3 recent sun spots are not high enough on the latitude of the sun to be Cycle 24 and are remnants of Cycle 23.  The way the magnetic field oscillates in the sun and is presented in solar activity is illustrated in what are called butterfly diagrams and the solar cycles overlap.

Unfortunately that may mean this is the beginning of a longer cycle phenomena after all.  I hope not and the one piece of evidence I hold on to is Abdusamatov’s pick for the next long cycle minimum.  Archibald’s prediction either assumes an earlier bottom to the Maunder Minimum, less moderation from the Oceans, or an interaction between the long and short cycles seen in solar activity that makes different assumptions on time lines.  After all, even though sun spot activity has been recorded for some time, it is only very recently that the observations have been precise.

So we wait with bated breath for Cycle 24 to start in a way that signals the long cycle bottom is at least two cycles away.  If the solar cycle fails to get going by the end of the summer with more days with sunspots that without, then that point called the ’solar minimum’ may not be reached until the summer in 2009.  This would put us on track for solar activity recorded in solar cycles from 1860 to 1917 which was called the Dalton Minimum.  However, many think we are approaching a Maunder Minimum.

Just for fun I thought I’d look at the ‘Jose Cycle’ for the alignment of the Jovian Planets and guess what keeps coming up.  The year 2012, the mystical end of the Mayan Calender.  More precisely, using the methods of looking at the sun’s movement (being pulled around by the planets) around the center of gravity of the solar system, the date is put at 2013.6.  However,  ‘Carl’ in an explanation of Theodor Landscheidt’s 1999 paper (Extrema in Sunspot Activity Related to Sun’s Motion) moves on from the precessional change to the point that it effects the sun and quotes from his paper …

“The secular solar motion cycle points to waning sunspot activity past 1990 and a deep sunspot minimum around 2030.”

…  and  “If the connection is real, the interval that began in 1990 should roughly reflect the course of the interval starting in 1632. After cycle 23 of medium intensity, four to five weak cycles (R < 80) should follow."

‘Will Hart’ best explains the mystical angle given by our star gazing Mayan ancestors with his piece “End of the 5th Sun”.  I quote …

“These will increase further starting in 2004. The volcanic ash will create more and more cloud cover and that will begin to cool the planet down. If my theory is correct the Maya knew that the Venus Transit acted like a circuit breaker switching off the sunspot cycle and impacting the Sun-Moon-Earth-Venus system. This appears to have happened just prior to the previous two ‘little ice ages’ that were preceded by what solar physicists call the Spoorer (1400-1510) and Maunder Minimum(s) 1640-1710), periods of radically diminished solar activity.  The Venus Transit will trigger the demise of the 5^th Sun and set the stage for the next cycle, the 6^th Sun. That is the physical side of the Maya 5^th Sun forecast. Unlike many predictions this one is built into the Maya calendar and it can be verified with some historical research. Is the world going to end in a violent crescendo of natural disasters and impacts from cosmic objects? I do not think that is likely nor is it what the Maya predicted.  However, a prolonged period of change is on the horizon that will be ushered in by the 2004 – 2012 ‘passage’. It will culminate in the galactic alignment and complete the precessional cycle at that point.”

That’s get’s me back to the Russian who recently predicted a long cycle minimum for 2041 looking at historical data (the same as IPCC with AGW), and Archibald who says it will be in 2009, the Mayans correctly pointing to the precessional change in 2012, and now a 1999 paper from Dr. Landscheidt pointing to precession causing solar transition about 2030.  Let’s hope that Solar Cycle 24 gives us one more relatively decent decade before the chill.

As a final bit, a person by the name of Ulrich Lyons (in the comments on the site discussing Landscheidt’s paper discussed previously) predicts we will have one more decent Solar Cycle ….

“1632, 1811, 1990, and 2169AD are all Jupiter opposite Saturn, Uranus and Neptune, heliocentric, and is what I call a major Jovian opposition, they occur about every 179yrs. Very close to the simple return period of Venus, Earth, Jupiter and Saturn, 65399 days. When a conjunction of Earth and Venus occurs in line with a Jovian opposition, high temperatures will follow, if the Earth/Venus conjunction is square to the Jovian conjunction, cold will prevail. This can be seen in monthly temperature records. Another example of the latter is Saturn and Jupiter opposite Uranus with the Earth/Venus conjunct square to it, such as 608AD(Euphrates froze), 829AD(Nile froze), winter 1962/3.  The 1/4 RSI is most likely the Jupiter/Mars/Earth/Venus cycle at 44.75yrs, when Mars is nearer Jupiter/Earth/Venus groupings, it historically correlates to higher sunspot maxima’s.  It is possible that the 80yr Gleissberg cycle is every other Mercury/Venus/Earth cycle of 40yrs.  For my own studies into temperature records, I pay most attention to the positions of Earth and Venus syzygies, and where they fall in relation to the gas giants positions, and the bisector of Earth and Venus, at distinct squares and conjunctions with the outer planets. The distribution of the outers planets in syzygies or squares being the most reactive points. A look back 179 years and 1 month in temperature or even storm records, to when most of the bodies where last in a similar set of relative positions, can be most revealing.  On cycle 24, I would estimate that it could peak at 130 +/- 10, centering at the end of 2012, or early 2013, and its profile to be somewhat like C9, although a more accurate forecast of the profile can be generated from the complete series of heliocentric alignments during the cycle. Thus the sunspot record can actually be seen as a record of heliocentric alignments. Animating this plotter: http://www.spaceweather.com/java/sunspot.html in sync with a heliocentric model of the solar system would be a good graphic way to demonstrate this.”

I’m not sure what will happen to the sources for news that mainstream media like the CBC and ‘Globe and Mail’ use when AGW gets some sophistication due to blatantly contrary evidence in a couple years but in the meantime the recent story about a chunk of the Wilkins Ice Sheet breaking off needs some clarification.

It is relatively well established that the penninsula reaching out toward South America warmed like the rest of the world up until 2006 or so unlike the rest of the continent.  Also, there is some recent work showing that volcanoes in this area have a huge impact on the calving of ice sheets in the region.

As Joseph D’Aleo notes in a May 25th post:

“The full Wilkins 6,000 square mile ice shelf is just 0.39% of the current ice sheet (just 0.1% of the extent last September). Only a small portion of it between 1/10th-1/20th of Wilkins has separated so far, like an icicle falling off a snow and ice covered house.  And this winter is coming on quickly. In fact the ice is returning so fast, it is running an amazing 60% ahead (4.0 vs 2.5 million square km extent) of last year when it set a new record. The ice extent is already approaching the second highest level for extent since the measurements began by satellite in 1979 and just a few days into the Southern Hemisphere fall season and 6 months ahead of the peak. Wilkins like all the others that temporarily broke up will refreeze soon. We are very likely going to exceed last year’s record. Yet the world is left with the false impression Antarctica’s ice sheet is also starting to disappear.”

It may be frustrating when usually reputable news agencies can take such a non-event and distort its context so blatantly and massively, but in the politics that is Anthropogenic Global Warming, it is to be expected.  So the real concern is still that the sun is diminishing and Antarctica is growing quicker than usual.  If the Arctic follows suit in the next couple of years I’m not sure how that will be spun but it will be interesting.  Personally, I’m not hoping for a clear turn away from AGW.  I enjoy my short summers too much.  For all this stuff being generated by the AGW IPCC industry, the real threat is shown in the final scene in the movie ‘Sunshi